Economania blog
Credibility of empirical research is being increasingly questioned due to the concern over the misuse of data analysis for a statistically significant impact where the expected effect does not exist. Technically, this is often called “p-hacking.” However, for most researchers, this is more like a star war.
As people are more likely to borrow when they are young but save when they are middle-aged, a high middle to young ratio implies an excess demand for saving, surging the stock prices. So if we can forecast demographic changes, we can forecast stock returns, too.
There is empirical evidence of the positive effect of democracy on economic growth, measured in GDP per capita. However, this effect cannot be detected for countries in the Sub-Saharan Africa area. The cause of this can be found in child mortality rates.
Is it worth switching to renewable energy or we have to sacrifice economic growth for green ideas? New research reveals that it may hurt at the beginning, but later pays off.
We all know public debt matters. Yet, no one knows how it exactly matters to economic growth. Does public debt cause growth? Is there a tipping point? Does the impact of debt on growth homogeneous for all countries?
Steve Keen, Professor of Economics and Head of the School of Economics, Politics and History at Kingston University London, one of the most recognized critic of the neoclassical economics, gave an interview to Kristóf Lehmann, the head of the MNB Department.
Kenneth Rogoff has been invited to Budapest by the MNB department of the Corvinus University. In his interview given to Economania blog, he lists the main risks to the global economy and the predominant role of the US dollar, and also explains, how an efficient monetary policy can be conducted well below the zero lower bound.
If the next crisis is exactly like the last one, any policymaker can simply follow the actual textbooks. But what if the next crisis is completely different?
The linear and symmetric approach of neoclassical economics is elegant, intuitive and very attractive, especially to those in power. However, the global financial crisis showed clearly that we are facing a huge paradigm blindness and therefore a paradigm crisis.
Willem Buiter, one of the leading economists of our age, delivered a lecture on the outlook for, and the challenges facing, the world economy. Mr Buiter was a guest at an event held as part of a series called ‘Economania’ organised by the MNB Department at Corvinus University.